West Texas Intermediate advanced 1.3 per cent, adding to Monday’s modest climb as the dollar weakened, while production in Libya fell below 1 million barrels a day amid a budget dispute
Topics
Crude Oil Price | Oil demand | United States
Bloomberg
Last Updated at April 21, 2021 01:05 IST
Oil jumped above $64 a barrel, a year to the day after futures for the US benchmark collapsed below zero, with the world’s most important commodity extending a powerful rally on bets for better demand.
West Texas Intermediate advanced 1.3 per cent, adding to Monday’s modest climb as the dollar weakened, while production in Libya fell below 1 million barrels a day amid a budget dispute.
Oil’s forward curve also suggests growing confidence — particularly as US demand recovers — with the spread between WTI’s contracts for December this year and 2022 at the widest backwardation in about a month. Yet there are still reasons to be cautious, with India suffering a fresh wave of coronavirus infections and refiners there starting to curb processing.
“Follow-through buying is pushing prices further up this morning but the immediate upside potential could be limited by the relentless march higher in infection rates,” said Tamas Varga, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates.
Crude is up more than 30 per cent in 2021 on optimism that the reopening of economies will stoke consumption and keep draining global inventories. As demand picks up, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies are planning a gradual return of supply starting next month. The alliance may skip a full-scale ministerial meeting planned for next week, possibly indicating members don’t see much need to revise current strategy.
A year ago today, the global oil market faced an unprecedented crisis, with WTI closing at $37.63 a barrel. Prices went negative after lockdowns savaged demand and key producers Saudi Arabia and Russia flooded the market in a price war. A restoration of Opec+ unity marked by deep supply cuts, as well as the development of vaccines, have helped prices to climb back.
“The market’s recovery through the past year, though still clouded by uncertainty, makes a repeat of the April 2020 price crash highly unlikely,” said Vandana Hari, founder of Vanda Insights in Singapore. “Some of the circumstances were unique to last year and the initial weeks of the pandemic, such as the confluence of the unanticipated shock of global lockdowns and demand destruction and Opec+ opening the spigots.”
Dear Reader,
Business Standard has always strived hard to provide up-to-date information and commentary on developments that are of interest to you and have wider political and economic implications for the country and the world. Your encouragement and constant feedback on how to improve our offering have only made our resolve and commitment to these ideals stronger. Even during these difficult times arising out of Covid-19, we continue to remain committed to keeping you informed and updated with credible news, authoritative views and incisive commentary on topical issues of relevance.
We, however, have a request.
As we battle the economic impact of the pandemic, we need your support even more, so that we can continue to offer you more quality content. Our subscription model has seen an encouraging response from many of you, who have subscribed to our online content. More subscription to our online content can only help us achieve the goals of offering you even better and more relevant content. We believe in free, fair and credible journalism. Your support through more subscriptions can help us practise the journalism to which we are committed.
Support quality journalism and subscribe to Business Standard.
Digital Editor
First Published: Wed, April 21 2021. 00:57 IST
read the full story about Crude oil jumps above $64, marking one year of crash below zero
#theheadlines #breakingnews #headlinenews #newstoday #latestnews #aajtak #ndtv #timesofindia #indiannews